WNBA
Friday, July 31 at 07:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
18-11 (10-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
84.4
—
87.2
Projected Total: 171.6 (O/U: 167.0)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
DAL: -155
|
WSH: +130
WSH
Washington Mystics
Home
16-12 (8-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
W
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings Win Prob
42.3%
No Value Edge
Washington Mystics Win Prob
57.7%
+14.2% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 57.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL -3.3 / WSH +3.3
DAL covers
(-110)
34.1%
WSH covers
(-110)
+13.5% Edge
65.9%
Total
O/U: 167.0
OVER
(-110)
+10.0% Edge
62.4%
UNDER
(-110)
37.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: WSH holds an Offensive Rating of 109.3 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 106.9.
- • 📊 Season Records: WSH is 15-12 (Home: 7-6) vs DAL 18-10 (Away: 10-5).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: WSH factor: 0.992 | DAL factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 57.7% of trials. Projected score: DAL 84 - WSH 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.6
ORtg: 109.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.0
DRtg: 109.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 102.4
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 43.3%
3-Point %
32.2% / 36.8%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 76.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Washington Mystics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
L
vs Atlanta Dream
81 - 82
|
Jul 29, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
101 - 97
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
98 - 99
|
Jul 20, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
90 - 82
|
Jul 19, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
96 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
Washington Mystics
W
vs Connecticut Sun
92 - 84
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
100 - 99
|
Jul 22, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
90 - 82
|
Jul 20, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
69 - 74
|
Jul 18, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
56 - 75
|
Jul 16, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Dallas Wings defeated Washington Mystics
92 - 69
|
May 18, 2026
Injury Reports
Dallas Wings 2 reported
Washington Mystics 0 reported
No major injuries reported.