VegasSims runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per game using live rosters, weather, and deep analytics. We spot the pricing gaps in Vegas lines and the best edges to exploit.
Get direct access to our simulations. Below are our daily featured simulations, along with preview cards of locked premium projections.
Upgrade to Pro to unlock full simulation models for this game.
Unlock ProjectionUpgrade to Pro to unlock full simulation models for this game.
Unlock ProjectionOur engine runs 10,000 times for each matchup, translating real-world roster data into mathematical likelihood.
We crawl current depth charts, player fatigue indexes, weather projections, and goalie/pitcher starter changes minutes before running simulations.
Our custom Monte Carlo model simulates game possession-by-possession 10,000 times, creating a stable distribution of possible total scores, spreads, and winners.
We overlay the simulated outcomes against Vegas lines. When our model's probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability, we flag a +EV Value Bet.
Start free with two featured simulations a day, or unlock everything with Pro.
Perfect for casual sports fans looking for basic predictive metrics.
Every simulation, every pick, every league. One simple price.
Deep structural analysis written by data scientists and sports analysts. Master expected value and bankroll management.
Week 6 is a 14-game slate with four teams on bye, a London kickoff at 9:30 a.m. ET, and two of the biggest line moves we've tracked all season.
If you tailed our premium parlay yesterday, you enjoyed a stress-free cash courtesy of the Yankees and Orioles. We see absolutely no reason to overcomplicate things today. Our VegasSims simulations have identified two massive favorites with identical 70% win probabilities on Saturday's board.
Why Is the Moneyline Wrong? The books are treating a matchup between two 38-54 teams as a coin flip.
