WNBA
Sunday, August 02 at 03:30 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LA
Los Angeles Sparks
Away
11-17 (6-8 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
87.6
—
95.3
Projected Total: 182.9 (O/U: 185.8)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LA: -105
|
POR: -115
POR
Portland Fire
Home
11-19 (6-9 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
L
L
L
L
Simulated Outcome Probability
Los Angeles Sparks Win Prob
29.6%
No Value Edge
Portland Fire Win Prob
70.4%
+16.9% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Fire to win outright in 70.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LA +0.4 / POR -0.4
LA covers
(-110)
29.6%
POR covers
(-110)
+18.0% Edge
70.4%
Total
O/U: 185.8
OVER
(-110)
42.0%
UNDER
(-110)
+5.6% Edge
58.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • ๐ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 80.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • ๐ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: POR holds an Offensive Rating of 123.4 vs LA's Defensive Rating of 117.6.
- • ๐ Season Records: POR is 11-18 (Home: 6-8) vs LA 10-17 (Away: 5-8).
- • ๐ฅ Momentum Factors: POR factor: 0.964 | LA factor: 0.98 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Fire winning outright in 70.4% of trials. Projected score: LA 88 - POR 95.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
๐ Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.8
ORtg: 104.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 126.5
DRtg: 115.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 113.4
๐ฏ Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.5% / 43.8%
3-Point %
32.5% / 32.5%
Free Throw %
76.8% / 78.5%
โก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Los Angeles Sparks
Portland Fire
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Los Angeles Sparks
L
vs New York Liberty
109 - 113
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
vs Phoenix Mercury
82 - 86
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
82 - 90
|
Jul 19, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
82 - 96
|
Jul 17, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
87 - 96
|
Jul 15, 2026
Portland Fire
L
vs Indiana Fever
98 - 112
|
Jul 31, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
83 - 98
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
vs Dallas Wings
97 - 101
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Lynx
93 - 101
|
Jul 18, 2026
W
@ Washington Mystics
75 - 56
|
Jul 16, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Los Angeles Sparks defeated Portland Fire
89 - 72
|
Jun 07, 2026