WNBA
Wednesday, August 05 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA
Seattle Storm
Away
6-27
(2-16 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
84.3
—
95.3
NY
New York Liberty
Home
19-13
(10-5 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
SEA +8.2 (-110)NY -8.2 (-105)
- Total
-
Posted 182.8 (-115)Simulated 179.6
- Moneyline
-
SEA +280NY -360
Simulated Outcome Probability
Seattle Storm
21.6%
New York Liberty
78.4%
No edge at +280
+0.1% edge at -360
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Liberty to win outright in 78.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SEA +8.2 / NY -8.2
SEA covers
(-110)
42.8%
NY covers
(-105)
+6.0% Edge
57.2%
Total
O/U: 182.8
OVER
(-115)
41.9%
UNDER
(-110)
+5.7% Edge
58.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.8 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 116.0 vs SEA's Defensive Rating of 111.5.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 18-13 (Home: 9-5) vs SEA 6-26 (Away: 2-15).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 1.021 | SEA factor: 0.965 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Liberty winning outright in 78.4% of trials. Projected score: SEA 84 - NY 95.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 81.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 116.0
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 113.8
DRtg: 109.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 106.9
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.5% / 46.2%
3-Point %
28.8% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
78.8% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Seattle Storm
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Seattle Storm
L
@ New York Liberty
83 - 95
|
Aug 03, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
89 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
95 - 105
|
Jul 28, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
76 - 86
|
Jul 22, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
102 - 105
|
Jul 20, 2026
New York Liberty
W
vs Seattle Storm
95 - 83
|
Aug 03, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
94 - 92
|
Aug 01, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
99 - 104
|
Jul 30, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
113 - 109
|
Jul 28, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
95 - 94
|
Jul 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
New York Liberty defeated Seattle Storm
95 - 83
|
Aug 03, 2026
Home
Seattle Storm defeated New York Liberty
99 - 88
|
Jun 25, 2026