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WNBA Tuesday, August 11 at 07:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NY

New York Liberty

Away 20-14 (9-9 Away)
L W W W W
Projected Final Score
93.3 — 95.7
IND

Indiana Fever

Home 21-12 (12-6 Home)
W W L L W
Spread
NY +2.7 (-110)
IND -2.7 (-110)
Total
Posted 191.0 (-110)
Simulated 189.0
Moneyline
NY +120
IND -145

Simulated Outcome Probability

New York Liberty
43.1%
Indiana Fever
56.9%
No edge at +120
No edge at -145

Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 56.9% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: NY +2.7 / IND -2.7
NY covers (-110) 49.3%
IND covers (-110) 50.7%
Total O/U: 191.0
OVER (-110) 43.8%
UNDER (-110) +3.8% Edge 56.2%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
  • • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: IND holds an Offensive Rating of 131.3 vs NY's Defensive Rating of 104.2.
  • • 📊 Season Records: IND is 20-12 (Home: 11-6) vs NY 20-13 (Away: 9-8).
  • • 🔥 Momentum Factors: IND factor: 1.007 | NY factor: 1.021 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 56.9% of trials. Projected score: NY 93 - IND 96.

WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits

📊 Statistical Comparison

Pace: 78.8 Possessions per 40 min Pace: 80.0
ORtg: 114.6 Offensive Rating ORtg: 128.7
DRtg: 106.6 Defensive Rating (Lower is Better) DRtg: 112.2

🎯 Shooting Splits

Field Goal %
46.2% / 45.3%
3-Point %
34.9% / 35.6%
Free Throw %
82.2% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.

Top Team Performers

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New York Liberty

Indiana Fever

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

New York Liberty

W vs Las Vegas Aces
111 - 71 | Aug 09, 2026
W vs Seattle Storm
92 - 86 | Aug 05, 2026
W vs Seattle Storm
95 - 83 | Aug 03, 2026
W @ Phoenix Mercury
94 - 92 | Aug 01, 2026
L @ Las Vegas Aces
99 - 104 | Jul 30, 2026

Indiana Fever

W @ Chicago Sky
90 - 86 | Aug 08, 2026
L vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 86 | Aug 06, 2026
L @ Minnesota Lynx
100 - 108 | Aug 02, 2026
W @ Portland Fire
112 - 98 | Jul 31, 2026
W @ Seattle Storm
105 - 95 | Jul 28, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Indiana Fever defeated New York Liberty
108 - 88 | Jul 18, 2026
Home New York Liberty defeated Indiana Fever
83 - 75 | Jun 06, 2026

Injury Reports

New York Liberty 2 reported

G Elizabeth Balogun
Out
F Satou Sabally
Out

Indiana Fever 2 reported

C Aliyah Boston
Out
G Tyasha Harris
Out