WNBA
Friday, August 14 at 10:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
POR
Portland Fire
Away
14-20
(6-10 Away)
Form
L
L
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
91.9
—
85.2
SEA
Seattle Storm
Home
7-29
(5-12 Home)
Form
L
L
L
L
W
- Spread
-
POR +3.5 (-110)SEA -3.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 179.6 (-110)Simulated 177.1
- Moneyline
-
POR +130SEA -155
Simulated Outcome Probability
Portland Fire
68.5%
Seattle Storm
31.5%
+25.0% edge at +130
No edge at -155
Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Fire to win outright in 68.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: POR +3.5 / SEA -3.5
POR covers
(-110)
+23.6% Edge
76.0%
SEA covers
(-110)
24.0%
Total
O/U: 179.6
OVER
(-110)
42.9%
UNDER
(-110)
+4.7% Edge
57.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.1 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: SEA holds an Offensive Rating of 110.2 vs POR's Defensive Rating of 112.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: SEA is 7-28 (Home: 5-11) vs POR 13-20 (Away: 5-10).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: SEA factor: 0.964 | POR factor: 1.008 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Fire winning outright in 68.5% of trials. Projected score: POR 92 - SEA 85.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 81.0
ORtg: 126.0
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 114.7
DRtg: 112.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.8% / 43.5%
3-Point %
32.5% / 28.8%
Free Throw %
78.5% / 78.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Portland Fire
Seattle Storm
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Portland Fire
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
81 - 85
|
Aug 12, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
100 - 93
|
Aug 08, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
97 - 83
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
vs Los Angeles Sparks
101 - 106
|
Aug 02, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
98 - 112
|
Jul 31, 2026
Seattle Storm
W
vs Chicago Sky
97 - 88
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
93 - 100
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
86 - 92
|
Aug 05, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
83 - 95
|
Aug 03, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
89 - 98
|
Jul 31, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Portland Fire defeated Seattle Storm
100 - 93
|
Aug 08, 2026
Away
Portland Fire defeated Seattle Storm
77 - 72
|
Jul 04, 2026
Home
Portland Fire defeated Seattle Storm
94 - 89
|
Jun 17, 2026