WNBA
Tuesday, August 18 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
24-12
(11-6 Away)
Form
L
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
102.3
—
87.8
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Home
10-24
(6-12 Home)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
IND -10.1 (-110)TOR +10.1 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 190.4 (-110)Simulated 190.1
- Moneyline
-
IND -495TOR +370
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever
84.7%
Toronto Tempo
15.4%
+1.5% edge at -495
No edge at +370
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 84.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND -10.1 / TOR +10.1
IND covers
(-110)
+8.2% Edge
60.6%
TOR covers
(-110)
39.4%
Total
O/U: 190.4
OVER
(-110)
48.4%
UNDER
(-110)
51.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.9 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: TOR holds an Offensive Rating of 106.2 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 106.9.
- • 📊 Season Records: TOR is 10-23 (Home: 6-11) vs IND 23-12 (Away: 10-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: TOR factor: 0.95 | IND factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 84.7% of trials. Projected score: IND 102 - TOR 88.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.5
ORtg: 128.0
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.8
DRtg: 112.3
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 113.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 44.5%
3-Point %
35.6% / 34.0%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
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Indiana Fever
Toronto Tempo
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
W
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 91
|
Aug 16, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
98 - 87
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
106 - 92
|
Aug 11, 2026
W
@ Chicago Sky
90 - 86
|
Aug 08, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
84 - 86
|
Aug 06, 2026
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Dallas Wings
88 - 94
|
Aug 12, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
95 - 107
|
Aug 10, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
83 - 97
|
Aug 06, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
81 - 92
|
Aug 04, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 96
|
Aug 02, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Toronto Tempo
113 - 91
|
Jun 16, 2026