WNBA
Tuesday, August 25 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
POR
Portland Fire
Away
15-23
(7-12 Away)
Form
L
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
90.7
—
87.3
DAL
Dallas Wings
Home
23-16
(13-6 Home)
Form
W
L
L
W
W
- Spread
-
POR +8.3 (-110)DAL -8.3 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 177.5 (-110)Simulated 178.0
- Moneyline
-
POR +280DAL -360
Simulated Outcome Probability
Portland Fire
59.3%
Dallas Wings
40.7%
+33.0% edge at +280
No edge at -360
Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Fire to win outright in 59.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: POR +8.3 / DAL -8.3
POR covers
(-110)
+27.3% Edge
79.7%
DAL covers
(-110)
20.3%
Total
O/U: 177.5
OVER
(-110)
51.0%
UNDER
(-110)
49.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 106.0 vs POR's Defensive Rating of 111.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: DAL is 22-16 (Home: 12-6) vs POR 15-22 (Away: 7-11).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 1.007 | POR factor: 0.993 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Fire winning outright in 59.3% of trials. Projected score: POR 91 - DAL 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 126.5
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 106.6
DRtg: 110.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.8% / 44.6%
3-Point %
32.5% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
78.5% / 80.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Portland Fire
Dallas Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Portland Fire
L
vs Washington Mystics
100 - 105
|
Aug 23, 2026
L
@ Toronto Tempo
79 - 82
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
88 - 85
|
Aug 16, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
84 - 82
|
Aug 14, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
81 - 85
|
Aug 12, 2026
Dallas Wings
W
vs Seattle Storm
92 - 70
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
91 - 85
|
Aug 20, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
70 - 78
|
Aug 17, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
87 - 98
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
94 - 88
|
Aug 12, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Dallas Wings defeated Portland Fire
101 - 97
|
Jul 22, 2026
Home
Portland Fire defeated Dallas Wings
84 - 83
|
Jun 13, 2026