WNBA
Thursday, August 27 at 08:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
28-11 (13-6 Away)
Last 5 Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
86.0
—
84.6
Projected Total: 170.6 (O/U: 161.6)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
GSV: +125
|
NY: -150
NY
New York Liberty
Home
23-16 (13-6 Home)
Last 5 Form
L
W
W
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries Win Prob
54.5%
+10.1% Value Edge
New York Liberty Win Prob
45.5%
No Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 54.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +2.8 / NY -2.8
GSV covers
(-105)
+9.4% Edge
60.6%
NY covers
(-115)
39.4%
Total
O/U: 161.6
OVER
(-110)
+20.5% Edge
72.9%
UNDER
(-110)
27.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: NY holds an Offensive Rating of 112.7 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 93.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: NY is 23-15 (Home: 13-5) vs GSV 27-11 (Away: 12-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: NY factor: 0.992 | GSV factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 54.5% of trials. Projected score: GSV 86 - NY 85.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.8
ORtg: 107.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 116.4
DRtg: 96.4
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.5
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 46.2%
3-Point %
34.5% / 34.9%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 82.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
New York Liberty
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
@ Connecticut Sun
89 - 64
|
Aug 26, 2026
W
@ Minnesota Lynx
80 - 66
|
Aug 24, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
70 - 73
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
91 - 71
|
Aug 12, 2026
New York Liberty
W
vs Indiana Fever
109 - 102
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
86 - 93
|
Aug 18, 2026
W
@ Connecticut Sun
82 - 75
|
Aug 15, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
85 - 81
|
Aug 13, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
92 - 106
|
Aug 11, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated New York Liberty
76 - 67
|
Jun 28, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated New York Liberty
87 - 70
|
May 21, 2026