WNBA
Sunday, August 30 at 05:00 PM UTC
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LA
Los Angeles Sparks
Away
15-25 (8-12 Away)
Last 5 Form
L
L
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
83.3
—
88.5
Projected Total: 171.8 (O/U: 174.4)
Sportsbook Consensus Odds
LA: -115
|
SEA: -105
SEA
Seattle Storm
Home
8-32 (6-14 Home)
Last 5 Form
W
L
L
L
W
Simulated Outcome Probability
Los Angeles Sparks Win Prob
35.3%
No Value Edge
Seattle Storm Win Prob
64.7%
+13.5% Value Edge
Our 10,000 iterations project the Seattle Storm to win outright in 64.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LA -1.2 / SEA +1.2
LA covers
(-110)
32.5%
SEA covers
(-110)
+15.1% Edge
67.5%
Total
O/U: 174.4
OVER
(-110)
42.0%
UNDER
(-110)
+5.6% Edge
58.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • ๐ Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.9 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • ๐ Offensive/Defensive Ratings: SEA holds an Offensive Rating of 117.6 vs LA's Defensive Rating of 111.6.
- • ๐ Season Records: SEA is 8-31 (Home: 6-13) vs LA 14-25 (Away: 7-12).
- • ๐ฅ Momentum Factors: SEA factor: 0.993 | LA factor: 0.993 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Seattle Storm winning outright in 64.7% of trials. Projected score: LA 83 - SEA 89.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
๐ Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 81.0
ORtg: 101.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 118.4
DRtg: 110.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 107.5
๐ฏ Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.5% / 43.5%
3-Point %
32.5% / 28.8%
Free Throw %
76.8% / 78.8%
โก Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Los Angeles Sparks
Seattle Storm
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Los Angeles Sparks
W
vs Washington Mystics
88 - 82
|
Aug 28, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
71 - 78
|
Aug 24, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
77 - 68
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
88 - 124
|
Aug 20, 2026
L
@ Connecticut Sun
77 - 85
|
Aug 18, 2026
Seattle Storm
W
vs Toronto Tempo
90 - 78
|
Aug 26, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
70 - 92
|
Aug 23, 2026
L
vs Chicago Sky
80 - 82
|
Aug 16, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
82 - 84
|
Aug 14, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
97 - 88
|
Aug 10, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Seattle Storm defeated Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 64
|
Jul 06, 2026
Away
Los Angeles Sparks defeated Seattle Storm
88 - 83
|
Jun 10, 2026