WNBA
Thursday, September 17 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WSH
Washington Mystics
Away
25-16
(12-9 Away)
Form
L
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
89.4
—
80.6
CHI
Chicago Sky
Home
15-26
(10-11 Home)
Form
W
W
L
L
L
- Spread
-
WSH -1.4 (-110)CHI +1.4 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 165.1 (-110)Simulated 170.0
- Moneyline
-
WSH -125CHI +100
Simulated Outcome Probability
Washington Mystics
73.6%
Chicago Sky
26.4%
+18.0% edge at -125
No edge at +100
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 73.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: WSH -1.4 / CHI +1.4
WSH covers
(-110)
+18.6% Edge
71.0%
CHI covers
(-110)
29.0%
Total
O/U: 165.1
OVER
(-110)
+9.5% Edge
61.9%
UNDER
(-110)
38.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CHI holds an Offensive Rating of 107.8 vs WSH's Defensive Rating of 102.4.
- • 📊 Season Records: CHI is 15-25 (Home: 10-10) vs WSH 24-16 (Away: 11-9).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CHI factor: 0.978 | WSH factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 73.6% of trials. Projected score: WSH 89 - CHI 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.6
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.5
ORtg: 115.4
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.3
DRtg: 104.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 110.2
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
43.3% / 42.3%
3-Point %
36.8% / 31.2%
Free Throw %
76.2% / 77.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
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Washington Mystics
Chicago Sky
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Washington Mystics
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 88
|
Aug 28, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
80 - 73
|
Aug 27, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
94 - 84
|
Aug 25, 2026
W
@ Portland Fire
105 - 100
|
Aug 23, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
84 - 94
|
Aug 21, 2026
Chicago Sky
L
@ New York Liberty
66 - 85
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Connecticut Sun
81 - 87
|
Aug 25, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
90 - 113
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70
|
Aug 21, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
93 - 86
|
Aug 18, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Washington Mystics defeated Chicago Sky
90 - 72
|
Jun 02, 2026
Injury Reports
Washington Mystics 0 reported
No major injuries reported.