WNBA
Friday, September 18 at 07:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Fever
Away
27-14
(13-8 Away)
Form
W
L
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
100.4
—
87.5
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Home
11-30
(7-14 Home)
Form
W
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
IND -15.5 (-105)TOR +15.5 (-115)
- Total
-
Posted 187.1 (-110)Simulated 187.9
- Moneyline
-
IND -1285TOR +750
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Fever
81.9%
Toronto Tempo
18.1%
No edge at -1285
+6.3% edge at +750
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Fever to win outright in 81.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND -15.5 / TOR +15.5
IND covers
(-105)
42.6%
TOR covers
(-115)
+3.9% Edge
57.4%
Total
O/U: 187.1
OVER
(-110)
50.4%
UNDER
(-110)
49.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: TOR holds an Offensive Rating of 106.9 vs IND's Defensive Rating of 109.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: TOR is 11-29 (Home: 7-13) vs IND 26-14 (Away: 12-8).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: TOR factor: 0.964 | IND factor: 1.022 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Fever winning outright in 81.9% of trials. Projected score: IND 100 - TOR 88.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.0
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.5
ORtg: 129.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.5
DRtg: 112.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 113.7
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.3% / 44.5%
3-Point %
35.6% / 34.0%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Indiana Fever
Toronto Tempo
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Fever
W
vs Connecticut Sun
111 - 91
|
Aug 28, 2026
W
@ Chicago Sky
113 - 90
|
Aug 23, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
102 - 109
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
85 - 91
|
Aug 20, 2026
W
@ Toronto Tempo
101 - 95
|
Aug 18, 2026
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
69 - 101
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
73 - 93
|
Aug 28, 2026
L
@ Seattle Storm
78 - 90
|
Aug 26, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
78 - 88
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
82 - 79
|
Aug 21, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Indiana Fever defeated Toronto Tempo
101 - 95
|
Aug 18, 2026
Home
Indiana Fever defeated Toronto Tempo
113 - 91
|
Jun 16, 2026