WNBA
Saturday, September 19 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
15-27
(5-16 Away)
Form
W
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
80.1
—
91.2
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
28-14
(15-7 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
CHI +14.9 (-110)ATL -14.9 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 176.5 (-110)Simulated 171.3
- Moneyline
-
CHI +665ATL -1080
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky
21.1%
Atlanta Dream
78.9%
+8.0% edge at +665
No edge at -1080
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 78.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +14.9 / ATL -14.9
CHI covers
(-110)
+7.3% Edge
59.7%
ATL covers
(-110)
40.3%
Total
O/U: 176.5
OVER
(-110)
35.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+12.3% Edge
64.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 126.0 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 115.5.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 27-14 (Home: 14-7) vs CHI 15-26 (Away: 5-15).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 1.036 | CHI factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 78.9% of trials. Projected score: CHI 80 - ATL 91.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 111.3
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 122.9
DRtg: 111.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 104.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 40.9%
3-Point %
31.2% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
L
vs Washington Mystics
80 - 110
|
Sep 17, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
66 - 85
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Connecticut Sun
81 - 87
|
Aug 25, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
90 - 113
|
Aug 23, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
73 - 70
|
Aug 21, 2026
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Connecticut Sun
103 - 59
|
Sep 17, 2026
W
vs Minnesota Lynx
89 - 81
|
Aug 30, 2026
L
vs Portland Fire
83 - 101
|
Aug 28, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
78 - 71
|
Aug 24, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
99 - 89
|
Aug 22, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Chicago Sky
93 - 91
|
Jul 19, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Chicago Sky
82 - 75
|
Jun 09, 2026