WNBA
Sunday, September 20 at 03:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NY
New York Liberty
Away
26-16
(12-10 Away)
Form
L
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
95.3
—
86.1
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Home
11-31
(7-15 Home)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
NY -14.3 (-110)TOR +14.3 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 176.3 (-110)Simulated 181.4
- Moneyline
-
NY -1055TOR +665
Simulated Outcome Probability
New York Liberty
74.4%
Toronto Tempo
25.6%
No edge at -1055
+12.5% edge at +665
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Liberty to win outright in 74.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: NY -14.3 / TOR +14.3
NY covers
(-110)
35.5%
TOR covers
(-110)
+12.1% Edge
64.5%
Total
O/U: 176.3
OVER
(-110)
+10.3% Edge
62.7%
UNDER
(-110)
37.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 79.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: TOR holds an Offensive Rating of 108.1 vs NY's Defensive Rating of 104.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: TOR is 11-30 (Home: 7-14) vs NY 25-16 (Away: 11-10).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: TOR factor: 0.965 | NY factor: 1.007 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Liberty winning outright in 74.4% of trials. Projected score: NY 95 - TOR 86.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.8
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.5
ORtg: 114.5
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.2
DRtg: 104.6
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 113.4
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
46.2% / 44.5%
3-Point %
34.9% / 34.0%
Free Throw %
82.2% / 79.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
New York Liberty
Toronto Tempo
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
New York Liberty
W
@ Minnesota Lynx
93 - 81
|
Sep 18, 2026
W
vs Chicago Sky
85 - 66
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
60 - 79
|
Aug 27, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
109 - 102
|
Aug 22, 2026
L
@ Chicago Sky
86 - 93
|
Aug 18, 2026
Toronto Tempo
L
vs Indiana Fever
85 - 103
|
Sep 18, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
69 - 101
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
73 - 93
|
Aug 28, 2026
L
@ Seattle Storm
78 - 90
|
Aug 26, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
78 - 88
|
Aug 23, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Toronto Tempo defeated New York Liberty
93 - 91
|
Jul 12, 2026
Home
New York Liberty defeated Toronto Tempo
97 - 82
|
Jun 03, 2026