WNBA
Wednesday, September 23 at 10:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
27-17
(11-11 Away)
Form
W
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
89.3
—
82.4
SEA
Seattle Storm
Home
8-36
(6-16 Home)
Form
W
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
DAL -8.8 (-110)SEA +8.8 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 172.9 (-110)Simulated 171.7
- Moneyline
-
DAL -440SEA +330
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings
68.8%
Seattle Storm
31.2%
No edge at -440
+7.9% edge at +330
Our 10,000 iterations project the Dallas Wings to win outright in 68.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL -8.8 / SEA +8.8
DAL covers
(-110)
45.7%
SEA covers
(-110)
+1.9% Edge
54.3%
Total
O/U: 172.9
OVER
(-110)
46.8%
UNDER
(-110)
+0.8% Edge
53.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 80.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: SEA holds an Offensive Rating of 107.6 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 102.9.
- • ❌ Injury Impact: SEA ratings adjusted (OffRating: -3.0, DefRating: +3.5) with Ezi Magbegor ruled OUT.
- • 📊 Season Records: SEA is 8-35 (Home: 6-15) vs DAL 26-17 (Away: 10-11).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: SEA factor: 0.964 | DAL factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Dallas Wings winning outright in 68.8% of trials. Projected score: DAL 89 - SEA 82.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 81.0
ORtg: 106.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 112.0
DRtg: 106.7
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.5
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 43.5%
3-Point %
32.2% / 28.8%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 78.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Seattle Storm
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
86 - 87
|
Sep 21, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
87 - 82
|
Sep 19, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
97 - 77
|
Sep 17, 2026
W
vs Connecticut Sun
97 - 71
|
Aug 30, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
96 - 78
|
Aug 25, 2026
Seattle Storm
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
77 - 98
|
Sep 20, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
57 - 70
|
Sep 19, 2026
L
vs Las Vegas Aces
77 - 114
|
Sep 17, 2026
L
vs Los Angeles Sparks
74 - 90
|
Aug 30, 2026
W
vs Toronto Tempo
90 - 78
|
Aug 26, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Dallas Wings defeated Seattle Storm
92 - 70
|
Aug 23, 2026
Away
Dallas Wings defeated Seattle Storm
112 - 110
|
Jun 22, 2026
Home
Dallas Wings defeated Seattle Storm
79 - 56
|
Jun 01, 2026