WNBA
Thursday, September 24 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
TOR
Toronto Tempo
Away
11-33
(4-18 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
88.7
—
88.5
CON
Connecticut Sun
Home
11-33
(8-14 Home)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
- Spread
-
TOR +2.1 (-110)CON -2.1 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 168.5 (-110)Simulated 177.2
- Moneyline
-
TOR +110CON -135
Simulated Outcome Probability
Toronto Tempo
51.0%
Connecticut Sun
49.0%
+3.4% edge at +110
No edge at -135
Our 10,000 iterations project the Toronto Tempo to win outright in 51.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: TOR +2.1 / CON -2.1
TOR covers
(-110)
+4.2% Edge
56.6%
CON covers
(-110)
43.4%
Total
O/U: 168.5
OVER
(-110)
+19.6% Edge
72.0%
UNDER
(-110)
28.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.8 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: CON holds an Offensive Rating of 105.1 vs TOR's Defensive Rating of 115.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: CON is 10-33 (Home: 7-14) vs TOR 11-32 (Away: 4-17).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: CON factor: 0.95 | TOR factor: 0.98 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Toronto Tempo winning outright in 51.0% of trials. Projected score: TOR 89 - CON 89.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 76.5
ORtg: 108.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 110.4
DRtg: 113.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.0
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.5% / 44.1%
3-Point %
34.0% / 32.7%
Free Throw %
79.0% / 81.0%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Toronto Tempo
Connecticut Sun
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Toronto Tempo
L
@ Chicago Sky
85 - 97
|
Sep 22, 2026
L
vs New York Liberty
69 - 106
|
Sep 20, 2026
L
vs Indiana Fever
85 - 103
|
Sep 18, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
69 - 101
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Las Vegas Aces
73 - 93
|
Aug 28, 2026
Connecticut Sun
L
@ Washington Mystics
69 - 79
|
Sep 22, 2026
L
vs Minnesota Lynx
89 - 101
|
Sep 20, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
59 - 103
|
Sep 17, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
71 - 97
|
Aug 30, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
91 - 111
|
Aug 28, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Toronto Tempo defeated Connecticut Sun
101 - 97
|
Jun 19, 2026
Home
Toronto Tempo defeated Connecticut Sun
106 - 102
|
Jun 10, 2026