WNBA
Thursday, September 24 at 07:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHI
Chicago Sky
Away
16-28
(5-17 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
W
Projected Final Score
78.0
—
91.9
WSH
Washington Mystics
Home
28-16
(15-7 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
W
- Spread
-
CHI +13.2 (-110)WSH -13.2 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 168.4 (-110)Simulated 169.9
- Moneyline
-
CHI +580WSH -875
Simulated Outcome Probability
Chicago Sky
15.3%
Washington Mystics
84.7%
+0.6% edge at +580
No edge at -875
Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Mystics to win outright in 84.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CHI +13.2 / WSH -13.2
CHI covers
(-110)
48.5%
WSH covers
(-110)
51.5%
Total
O/U: 168.4
OVER
(-110)
+0.8% Edge
53.2%
UNDER
(-110)
46.8%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: WSH holds an Offensive Rating of 118.2 vs CHI's Defensive Rating of 115.8.
- • 📊 Season Records: WSH is 27-16 (Home: 14-7) vs CHI 16-27 (Away: 5-16).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: WSH factor: 1.036 | CHI factor: 0.964 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Mystics winning outright in 84.7% of trials. Projected score: CHI 78 - WSH 92.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.5
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.6
ORtg: 110.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 115.7
DRtg: 111.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 102.6
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
42.3% / 43.3%
3-Point %
31.2% / 36.8%
Free Throw %
77.5% / 76.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Chicago Sky
Washington Mystics
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Chicago Sky
W
vs Toronto Tempo
97 - 85
|
Sep 22, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
81 - 106
|
Sep 19, 2026
L
vs Washington Mystics
80 - 110
|
Sep 17, 2026
L
@ New York Liberty
66 - 85
|
Aug 29, 2026
L
@ Connecticut Sun
81 - 87
|
Aug 25, 2026
Washington Mystics
W
vs Connecticut Sun
79 - 69
|
Sep 22, 2026
W
@ Indiana Fever
93 - 77
|
Sep 20, 2026
W
@ Chicago Sky
110 - 80
|
Sep 17, 2026
L
@ Los Angeles Sparks
82 - 88
|
Aug 28, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
80 - 73
|
Aug 27, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Washington Mystics defeated Chicago Sky
110 - 80
|
Sep 17, 2026
Home
Washington Mystics defeated Chicago Sky
90 - 72
|
Jun 02, 2026
Injury Reports
Chicago Sky 6 reported
Washington Mystics 0 reported
No major injuries reported.