WNBA
Wednesday, September 30 at 09:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
32-12
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
87.1
—
79.0
DAL
Dallas Wings
Home
27-17
(16-6 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
L
- Spread
-
GSV -4.5 (-105)DAL +4.5 (-115)
- Total
-
Posted 156.8 (-110)Simulated 166.1
- Moneyline
-
GSV -185DAL +155
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries
72.3%
Dallas Wings
27.7%
+7.4% edge at -185
No edge at +155
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 72.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV -4.5 / DAL +4.5
GSV covers
(-105)
+9.5% Edge
60.7%
DAL covers
(-115)
39.3%
Total
O/U: 156.8
OVER
(-110)
+21.7% Edge
74.1%
UNDER
(-110)
25.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 77.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: DAL holds an Offensive Rating of 104.8 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 91.0.
- • 📊 Season Records: DAL is 27-17 (Home: 16-6) vs GSV 32-12 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: DAL factor: 0.992 | GSV factor: 1.036 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 72.3% of trials. Projected score: GSV 87 - DAL 79.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.1
ORtg: 107.4
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 108.3
DRtg: 94.4
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 108.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 44.6%
3-Point %
34.5% / 32.2%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 80.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Dallas Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
76 - 75
|
Sep 24, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
82 - 90
|
Sep 22, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
70 - 57
|
Sep 19, 2026
W
vs Portland Fire
82 - 66
|
Sep 18, 2026
Dallas Wings
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
80 - 104
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
103 - 91
|
Sep 23, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
86 - 87
|
Sep 21, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
87 - 82
|
Sep 19, 2026
W
vs Los Angeles Sparks
97 - 77
|
Sep 17, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
91 - 80
|
Jun 17, 2026