NHL
Friday, October 02 at 06:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NYR
New York Rangers
Away
2-1-0
(1-1-0 Away)
Form
L
W
Projected Final Score
3.02
—
3.15
DET
Detroit Red Wings
Home
0-1-0
(0-1-0 Home)
- Spread
-
NYR +1.5 (-235)DET -1.5 (+190)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-115)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
NYR +110DET -130
Simulated Outcome Probability
New York Rangers
48.0%
Detroit Red Wings
52.0%
+0.4% edge at +110
No edge at -130
Our 10,000 iterations project the Detroit Red Wings to win outright in 52.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: NYR +1.5 / DET -1.5
NYR covers
(-235)
69.9%
DET covers
(+190)
30.2%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-115)
50.0%
UNDER
(-105)
50.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: NYR Dylan Garand (.897 projected SV%) vs DET John Gibson (.897 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NYR dresses 2.78 goals/game of talent (led by Zibanejad, Fox, Dorofeyev) | DET dresses 2.35 goals/game of talent (led by DeBrincat, Raymond, Arvidsson).
- • 📐 Model Rates: NYR 2.89 vs DET 2.81 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.8% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.8%), 3-2 (6.8%), 3-4 (5.9%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (DET 54.3% no-vig, Over 6.0 51.1%).
- • ❌ Injury: NYR - Adam Sykora (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Detroit Red Wings winning in 52.0% of trials. Projected score: NYR 3.02 - DET 3.15. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
New York Rangers
Dylan Garand
- Proj SV%
- .900
- Starts
- 8
- Shots Faced
- 212
Detroit Red Wings
John Gibson
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1035
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
New York Rangers
Detroit Red Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
New York Rangers
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 1
|
Oct 01, 2026
L
@ Boston Bruins
0 - 3
|
Sep 29, 2026
Detroit Red Wings
No recent games recorded.