WNBA
Friday, October 02 at 09:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
DAL
Dallas Wings
Away
27-17
(11-11 Away)
Form
W
L
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
79.8
—
87.3
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
- Spread
-
DAL +8.0 (-110)GSV -8.0 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 159.5 (-110)Simulated 167.1
- Moneyline
-
DAL +275GSV -350
Simulated Outcome Probability
Dallas Wings
29.3%
Golden State Valkyries
70.7%
+2.6% edge at +275
No edge at -350
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 70.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: DAL +8.0 / GSV -8.0
DAL covers
(-110)
51.3%
GSV covers
(-110)
48.7%
Total
O/U: 159.5
OVER
(-110)
+16.7% Edge
69.1%
UNDER
(-110)
30.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 78.0 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 107.5 vs DAL's Defensive Rating of 109.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs DAL 27-17 (Away: 11-11).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.016 | DAL factor: 0.998 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 70.7% of trials. Projected score: DAL 80 - GSV 87.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.1
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 108.5
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 108.0
DRtg: 109.0
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 95.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.6% / 44.9%
3-Point %
32.2% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
80.5% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Dallas Wings
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Dallas Wings
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
108 - 100
|
Sep 30, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
80 - 104
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Seattle Storm
103 - 91
|
Sep 23, 2026
L
@ Phoenix Mercury
86 - 87
|
Sep 21, 2026
W
vs Phoenix Mercury
87 - 82
|
Sep 19, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
L
@ Dallas Wings
100 - 108
|
Sep 30, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
76 - 75
|
Sep 24, 2026
L
@ Portland Fire
82 - 90
|
Sep 22, 2026
W
vs Seattle Storm
70 - 57
|
Sep 19, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Dallas Wings defeated Golden State Valkyries
108 - 100
|
Sep 30, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
78 - 70
|
Aug 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
94 - 76
|
Aug 07, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Dallas Wings
91 - 80
|
Jun 17, 2026