WNBA
Wednesday, October 07 at 09:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LV
Las Vegas Aces
Away
31-13
(16-6 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
85.7
—
80.2
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
W
- Spread
-
LV +1.5 (-110)GSV -1.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 156.9 (-110)Simulated 165.9
- Moneyline
-
LV +105GSV -125
Simulated Outcome Probability
Las Vegas Aces
64.9%
Golden State Valkyries
35.1%
+16.1% edge at +105
No edge at -125
Our 10,000 iterations project the Las Vegas Aces to win outright in 64.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: LV +1.5 / GSV -1.5
LV covers
(-110)
+15.6% Edge
68.0%
GSV covers
(-110)
32.0%
Total
O/U: 156.9
OVER
(-110)
+21.5% Edge
73.9%
UNDER
(-110)
26.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 76.3 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 103.6 vs LV's Defensive Rating of 98.7.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs LV 31-13 (Away: 16-6).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.014 | LV factor: 1.015 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Las Vegas Aces winning outright in 64.9% of trials. Projected score: LV 86 - GSV 80.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 80.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 126.9
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 106.7
DRtg: 100.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 94.5
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
45.4% / 44.9%
3-Point %
35.0% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
81.5% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Las Vegas Aces
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Las Vegas Aces
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
60 - 71
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
94 - 83
|
Oct 01, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
89 - 99
|
Sep 29, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
102 - 85
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Phoenix Mercury
100 - 82
|
Sep 24, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
71 - 60
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
77 - 73
|
Oct 02, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
100 - 108
|
Sep 30, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Sparks
76 - 75
|
Sep 24, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Las Vegas Aces
71 - 60
|
Oct 04, 2026
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
92 - 73
|
Jun 21, 2026
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
84 - 79
|
Jun 06, 2026
Away
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
91 - 81
|
May 31, 2026