NHL
Thursday, October 08 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
UTA
Utah Mammoth
Away
3-2-0
(2-2-0 Away)
Form
W
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
3.24
—
3.09
BOS
Boston Bruins
Home
3-2-0
(2-1-0 Home)
Form
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
UTA -1.5 (+190)BOS +1.5 (-230)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.3
- Moneyline
-
UTA -130BOS +110
Simulated Outcome Probability
Utah Mammoth
52.8%
Boston Bruins
47.2%
No edge at -130
No edge at +110
Our 10,000 iterations project the Utah Mammoth to win outright in 52.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: UTA -1.5 / BOS +1.5
UTA covers
(+190)
30.7%
BOS covers
(-230)
69.3%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
+0.5% Edge
52.9%
UNDER
(-110)
47.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: UTA Sebastian Cossa (.896 projected SV%) vs BOS Jeremy Swayman (.900 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: UTA dresses 3.08 goals/game of talent (led by Keller, Schmaltz, Guenther) | BOS dresses 2.82 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, Geekie, Zacha).
- • 📐 Model Rates: UTA 3.14 vs BOS 3.08 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.7% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.1%), 2-3 (6.6%), 4-3 (6.2%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BOS 45.7% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: UTA - Maveric Lamoureux (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: BOS - Charlie McAvoy (D) is Suspension; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Utah Mammoth winning in 52.8% of trials. Projected score: UTA 3.24 - BOS 3.09. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Utah Mammoth
Sebastian Cossa
- Proj SV%
- .893
- Starts
- 3
- Shots Faced
- 50
Boston Bruins
Jeremy Swayman
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1165
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Utah Mammoth
Boston Bruins
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Utah Mammoth
W
@ New Jersey Devils
5 - 3
|
Oct 06, 2026
L
@ New York Rangers
2 - 4
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
4 - 1
|
Oct 03, 2026
W
vs Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 0
|
Oct 01, 2026
Boston Bruins
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 4
|
Oct 05, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Wild
1 - 4
|
Oct 03, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3
|
Oct 02, 2026
W
vs New York Rangers
3 - 0
|
Sep 29, 2026