WNBA
Friday, October 09 at 09:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
32-12
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
80.5
—
85.5
LV
Las Vegas Aces
Home
31-13
(15-7 Home)
Form
W
L
W
L
L
- Spread
-
GSV +4.4 (-110)LV -4.4 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 156.4 (-110)Simulated 166.0
- Moneyline
-
GSV +160LV -190
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries
36.0%
Las Vegas Aces
64.0%
No edge at +160
No edge at -190
Our 10,000 iterations project the Las Vegas Aces to win outright in 64.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +4.4 / LV -4.4
GSV covers
(-110)
48.2%
LV covers
(-110)
51.8%
Total
O/U: 156.4
OVER
(-110)
+22.0% Edge
74.4%
UNDER
(-110)
25.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 76.5 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: LV holds an Offensive Rating of 120.9 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 93.4.
- • 📊 Season Records: LV is 31-13 (Home: 15-7) vs GSV 32-12 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: LV factor: 0.996 | GSV factor: 1.018 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Las Vegas Aces winning outright in 64.0% of trials. Projected score: GSV 81 - LV 86.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 80.2
ORtg: 106.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 126.5
DRtg: 95.1
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 100.5
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 45.4%
3-Point %
34.5% / 35.0%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 81.5%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Las Vegas Aces
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
83 - 81
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
71 - 60
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
77 - 73
|
Oct 02, 2026
L
@ Dallas Wings
100 - 108
|
Sep 30, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
104 - 80
|
Sep 27, 2026
Las Vegas Aces
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
81 - 83
|
Oct 07, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
60 - 71
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
94 - 83
|
Oct 01, 2026
L
@ Indiana Fever
89 - 99
|
Sep 29, 2026
W
vs Indiana Fever
102 - 85
|
Sep 27, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Las Vegas Aces
83 - 81
|
Oct 07, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Las Vegas Aces
71 - 60
|
Oct 04, 2026
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
92 - 73
|
Jun 21, 2026
Home
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
84 - 79
|
Jun 06, 2026
Away
Las Vegas Aces defeated Golden State Valkyries
91 - 81
|
May 31, 2026