NHL
Friday, October 09 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
SEA
Seattle Kraken
Away
3-2-0
(2-1-0 Away)
Form
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
2.92
—
3.24
DET
Detroit Red Wings
Home
1-3-0
(1-3-0 Home)
Form
L
L
W
- Spread
-
SEA +1.5 (-210)DET -1.5 (+170)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
SEA +120DET -145
Simulated Outcome Probability
Seattle Kraken
44.7%
Detroit Red Wings
55.3%
No edge at +120
No edge at -145
Our 10,000 iterations project the Detroit Red Wings to win outright in 55.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: SEA +1.5 / DET -1.5
SEA covers
(-210)
66.9%
DET covers
(+170)
33.1%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
49.5%
UNDER
(-110)
50.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: SEA Joey Daccord (.896 projected SV%) vs DET John Gibson (.898 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: SEA dresses 2.74 goals/game of talent (led by McCann, Eberle, Stephenson) | DET dresses 2.53 goals/game of talent (led by DeBrincat, Raymond, Larkin).
- • 📐 Model Rates: SEA 2.85 vs DET 3.02 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.5% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.0%), 3-2 (6.6%), 4-3 (5.8%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (DET 56.6% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: SEA - Jake O'Brien (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: SEA - Jacob Melanson (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: SEA - Ryan Lindgren (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - J.T. Compher (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Marco Kasper (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Mason Appleton (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Detroit Red Wings winning in 55.3% of trials. Projected score: SEA 2.92 - DET 3.24. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Seattle Kraken
Joey Daccord
- Proj SV%
- .895
- Starts
- 33
- Shots Faced
- 936
Detroit Red Wings
John Gibson
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1035
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Seattle Kraken
Detroit Red Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Seattle Kraken
L
vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 6
|
Oct 06, 2026
W
vs Calgary Flames
6 - 1
|
Oct 04, 2026
L
@ Edmonton Oilers
1 - 3
|
Oct 03, 2026
W
@ Calgary Flames
6 - 1
|
Oct 01, 2026
Detroit Red Wings
W
vs Ottawa Senators
5 - 3
|
Oct 06, 2026
L
vs Winnipeg Jets
2 - 3
|
Oct 04, 2026
L
vs New York Rangers
0 - 2
|
Oct 02, 2026