NHL
Saturday, October 10 at 03:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
VAN
Vancouver Canucks
Away
2-4-0
(1-2-0 Away)
Form
W
L
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.63
—
3.87
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Home
2-2-0
(2-1-0 Home)
Form
W
L
L
- Spread
-
VAN +1.5 (-105)NJD -1.5 (-115)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-100)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
VAN +240NJD -290
Simulated Outcome Probability
Vancouver Canucks
31.0%
New Jersey Devils
69.0%
+1.6% edge at +240
No edge at -290
Our 10,000 iterations project the New Jersey Devils to win outright in 69.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: VAN +1.5 / NJD -1.5
VAN covers
(-105)
+1.9% Edge
53.1%
NJD covers
(-115)
46.9%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-100)
49.1%
UNDER
(-120)
50.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: VAN Kevin Lankinen (.884 projected SV%) vs NJD Jake Allen (.897 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: VAN dresses 2.46 goals/game of talent (led by Pettersson, Rossi, Boeser) | NJD dresses 2.81 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier).
- • 📐 Model Rates: VAN 2.63 vs NJD 3.58 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 17.8% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.0%), 3-4 (6.4%), 2-4 (4.9%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NJD 71.7% no-vig, Over 6.5 47.8%).
- • ❌ Injury: VAN - Filip Chytil (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NJD - Connor Brown (R) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New Jersey Devils winning in 69.0% of trials. Projected score: VAN 2.63 - NJD 3.87. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Vancouver Canucks
Kevin Lankinen
- Proj SV%
- .883
- Starts
- 32
- Shots Faced
- 937
New Jersey Devils
Jake Allen
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 27
- Shots Faced
- 748
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Vancouver Canucks
New Jersey Devils
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Vancouver Canucks
L
@ Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 7
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Calgary Flames
4 - 1
|
Oct 03, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
7 - 9
|
Oct 01, 2026
W
@ Edmonton Oilers
6 - 5
|
Sep 29, 2026
New Jersey Devils
L
vs Utah Mammoth
3 - 5
|
Oct 06, 2026
L
@ New York Islanders
0 - 6
|
Oct 03, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 2
|
Oct 01, 2026