NHL
Sunday, October 11 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
VAN
Vancouver Canucks
Away
2-5-0
(1-3-0 Away)
Form
L
W
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.56
—
3.69
NYR
New York Rangers
Home
5-2-0
(4-0-0 Home)
Form
W
W
W
W
L
- Spread
-
VAN +1.5 (-115)NYR -1.5 (-105)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.3
- Moneyline
-
VAN +230NYR -280
Simulated Outcome Probability
Vancouver Canucks
31.6%
New York Rangers
68.4%
+1.3% edge at +230
No edge at -280
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Rangers to win outright in 68.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: VAN +1.5 / NYR -1.5
VAN covers
(-115)
+0.6% Edge
54.1%
NYR covers
(-105)
45.9%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
51.2%
UNDER
(-110)
48.8%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: VAN Kevin Lankinen (.884 projected SV%) vs NYR Dylan Garand (.898 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: VAN dresses 2.43 goals/game of talent (led by Pettersson, Rossi, Boeser) | NYR dresses 2.69 goals/game of talent (led by Zibanejad, Fox, Dorofeyev).
- • 📐 Model Rates: VAN 2.6 vs NYR 3.46 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 18.1% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.3%), 3-4 (6.1%), 2-4 (5.5%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NYR 70.9% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: VAN - Filip Chytil (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NYR - Adam Sykora (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Rangers winning in 68.4% of trials. Projected score: VAN 2.56 - NYR 3.69. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Vancouver Canucks
Kevin Lankinen
- Proj SV%
- .883
- Starts
- 32
- Shots Faced
- 937
New York Rangers
Dylan Garand
- Proj SV%
- .899
- Starts
- 7
- Shots Faced
- 181
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Vancouver Canucks
New York Rangers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Vancouver Canucks
L
@ New Jersey Devils
1 - 4
|
Oct 10, 2026
L
@ Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 7
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 3
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Calgary Flames
4 - 1
|
Oct 03, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
7 - 9
|
Oct 01, 2026
New York Rangers
L
@ Washington Capitals
1 - 3
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs New York Islanders
5 - 2
|
Oct 06, 2026
W
vs Utah Mammoth
4 - 2
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
@ Detroit Red Wings
2 - 0
|
Oct 02, 2026
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
5 - 1
|
Oct 01, 2026