NHL
Tuesday, October 13 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Away
3-3-0
(1-1-0 Away)
Form
W
L
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.04
—
3.04
DET
Detroit Red Wings
Home
1-3-2
(1-3-1 Home)
Form
L
L
W
L
L
- Spread
-
NJD +1.5 (-275)DET -1.5 (+220)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-105)Simulated 6.1
- Moneyline
-
NJD -110DET -110
Simulated Outcome Probability
New Jersey Devils
50.0%
Detroit Red Wings
50.0%
No edge at -110
No edge at -110
Our 10,000 iterations project the Detroit Red Wings to win outright in 50.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: NJD +1.5 / DET -1.5
NJD covers
(-275)
71.7%
DET covers
(+220)
28.3%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-105)
48.1%
UNDER
(-115)
51.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: NJD Jake Allen (.898 projected SV%) vs DET John Gibson (.896 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NJD dresses 2.7 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier) | DET dresses 2.5 goals/game of talent (led by DeBrincat, Raymond, Larkin).
- • 📐 Model Rates: NJD 2.86 vs DET 2.87 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.9% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.4%), 2-3 (7.1%), 3-4 (5.8%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (DET 50.0% no-vig, Over 6.0 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: NJD - Luke Evangelista (R) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NJD - Connor Brown (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - J.T. Compher (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Marco Kasper (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: DET - Mason Appleton (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Detroit Red Wings winning in 50.0% of trials. Projected score: NJD 3.04 - DET 3.04. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
New Jersey Devils
Jake Allen
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 27
- Shots Faced
- 748
Detroit Red Wings
John Gibson
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1035
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
New Jersey Devils
Detroit Red Wings
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
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