NHL Tuesday, October 13 at 06:15 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
FLA

Florida Panthers

Away 3-2-2 (3-1-2 Away)
L L W L L
Projected Final Score
3.05 — 3.24
CBJ

Columbus Blue Jackets

Home 2-3-0 (2-2-0 Home)
W L W L
Spread
FLA +1.5 (-230)
CBJ -1.5 (+185)
Total
Posted 6.0 (-115)
Simulated 6.3
Moneyline
FLA +110
CBJ -130

Simulated Outcome Probability

Florida Panthers
47.1%
Columbus Blue Jackets
52.9%
No edge at +110
No edge at -130

Our 10,000 iterations project the Columbus Blue Jackets to win outright in 52.9% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: FLA +1.5 / CBJ -1.5
FLA covers (-230) 68.7%
CBJ covers (+185) 31.3%
Total O/U: 6.0
OVER (-115) 52.0%
UNDER (-105) 48.0%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: FLA Akira Schmid (.894 projected SV%) vs CBJ Cam Talbot (.892 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: FLA dresses 2.51 goals/game of talent (led by Tkachuk, Reinhart, Tkachuk) | CBJ dresses 2.68 goals/game of talent (led by Werenski, Knies, Coyle).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: FLA 2.83 vs CBJ 3.07 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.8%), 3-2 (6.6%), 3-4 (6.2%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (CBJ 54.3% no-vig, Over 6.0 51.1%).
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Brad Marchand (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Jonah Gadjovich (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: FLA - Radko Gudas (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Columbus Blue Jackets winning in 52.9% of trials. Projected score: FLA 3.05 - CBJ 3.24. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Florida Panthers

Akira Schmid

Proj SV%
.894
Starts
20
Shots Faced
573
Columbus Blue Jackets

Cam Talbot

Proj SV%
.892
Starts
18
Shots Faced
558

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Florida Panthers

Columbus Blue Jackets

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Florida Panthers

L @ Buffalo Sabres
3 - 5 | Oct 12, 2026
L vs Minnesota Wild
1 - 4 | Oct 10, 2026
W @ Los Angeles Kings
2 - 1 | Oct 06, 2026
L @ Anaheim Ducks
2 - 3 | Oct 04, 2026
L @ San Jose Sharks
3 - 4 | Oct 01, 2026

Columbus Blue Jackets

L @ St. Louis Blues
3 - 5 | Oct 10, 2026
W vs Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 | Oct 09, 2026
L vs Utah Mammoth
1 - 4 | Oct 03, 2026
W vs Buffalo Sabres
6 - 3 | Oct 01, 2026