NHL
Friday, October 16 at 10:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
BOS
Boston Bruins
Away
6-2-0
(3-1-0 Away)
Form
L
L
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
3.31
—
3.19
ANA
Anaheim Ducks
Home
4-3-0
(1-3-0 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
- Spread
-
BOS -1.0 (+155)ANA +1.0 (-185)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-105)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
BOS -110ANA -110
Simulated Outcome Probability
Boston Bruins
52.3%
Anaheim Ducks
47.7%
No edge at -110
No edge at -110
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 52.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: BOS -1.0 / ANA +1.0
BOS covers
(+155)
38.8%
ANA covers
(-185)
61.2%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-105)
49.4%
UNDER
(-115)
50.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: BOS Michael DiPietro (.895 projected SV%) vs ANA Lukas Dostal (.892 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: BOS dresses 3.0 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie) | ANA dresses 2.46 goals/game of talent (led by Carlsson, Gauthier, Sennecke).
- • 📐 Model Rates: BOS 3.16 vs ANA 2.96 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.0%), 2-3 (6.2%), 4-3 (6.1%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (ANA 50.0% no-vig, Over 6.5 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Mikael Granlund (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ryan Poehling (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ian Moore (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 52.3% of trials. Projected score: BOS 3.31 - ANA 3.19. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Boston Bruins
Michael DiPietro
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 2
- Shots Faced
- 58
Anaheim Ducks
Lukas Dostal
- Proj SV%
- .892
- Starts
- 39
- Shots Faced
- 1060
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Boston Bruins
Anaheim Ducks
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Boston Bruins
W
@ San Jose Sharks
6 - 3
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
vs Utah Mammoth
6 - 1
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 4
|
Oct 05, 2026
L
@ Minnesota Wild
1 - 4
|
Oct 03, 2026
Anaheim Ducks
L
vs Calgary Flames
2 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
@ Calgary Flames
4 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 09, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
vs Florida Panthers
3 - 2
|
Oct 04, 2026