NHL
Saturday, October 17 at 03:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
Away
7-1-1
(5-0-0 Away)
Form
W
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
3.39
—
2.68
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
Home
4-2-2
(2-2-1 Home)
Form
W
W
L
W
L
- Spread
-
CAR -1.5 (+125)WPG +1.5 (-150)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.1
- Moneyline
-
CAR -205WPG +170
Simulated Outcome Probability
Carolina Hurricanes
61.4%
Winnipeg Jets
38.6%
No edge at -205
+1.6% edge at +170
Our 10,000 iterations project the Carolina Hurricanes to win outright in 61.4% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CAR -1.5 / WPG +1.5
CAR covers
(+125)
38.4%
WPG covers
(-150)
+1.6% Edge
61.6%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
47.9%
UNDER
(-110)
52.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (.896 projected SV%) vs WPG Clay Stevenson (.895 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CAR dresses 2.81 goals/game of talent (led by Aho, Svechnikov, Ehlers) | WPG dresses 2.47 goals/game of talent (led by Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi).
- • 📐 Model Rates: CAR 2.94 vs WPG 2.65 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.3% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.8%), 2-3 (6.1%), 4-3 (5.8%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (WPG 35.5% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: CAR - Taylor Hall (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CAR - Jordan Staal (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Josh Morrissey (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Vladislav Namestnikov (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Carolina Hurricanes winning in 61.4% of trials. Projected score: CAR 3.39 - WPG 2.68. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Carolina Hurricanes
Pyotr Kochetkov
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 10
- Shots Faced
- 215
Winnipeg Jets
Clay Stevenson
- Proj SV%
- .896
- Starts
- 5
- Shots Faced
- 145
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Carolina Hurricanes
Winnipeg Jets
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Carolina Hurricanes
W
vs Washington Capitals
4 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
@ Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1
|
Oct 11, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
7 - 2
|
Oct 08, 2026
W
@ Montréal Canadiens
6 - 4
|
Oct 06, 2026
Winnipeg Jets
L
@ Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
vs Minnesota Wild
5 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
vs Anaheim Ducks
1 - 5
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2
|
Oct 05, 2026