NHL
Sunday, October 18 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
Away
7-2-1
(5-1-0 Away)
Form
W
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
3.46
—
2.55
CGY
Calgary Flames
Home
2-6-0
(1-3-0 Home)
Form
L
L
L
W
L
- Spread
-
CAR -1.5 (+110)CGY +1.5 (-135)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-110)Simulated 6.0
- Moneyline
-
CAR -220CGY +185
Simulated Outcome Probability
Carolina Hurricanes
64.8%
Calgary Flames
35.2%
No edge at -220
+0.1% edge at +185
Our 10,000 iterations project the Carolina Hurricanes to win outright in 64.8% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CAR -1.5 / CGY +1.5
CAR covers
(+110)
41.4%
CGY covers
(-135)
+1.2% Edge
58.6%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-110)
47.3%
UNDER
(-110)
+0.3% Edge
52.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: CAR Brandon Bussi (.894 projected SV%) vs CGY Devin Cooley (.896 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CAR dresses 2.81 goals/game of talent (led by Aho, Svechnikov, Gostisbehere) | CGY dresses 2.09 goals/game of talent (led by Coronato, Frost, Backlund).
- • 📐 Model Rates: CAR 2.99 vs CGY 2.36 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.6% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.5%), 4-3 (6.4%), 2-3 (6.0%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (CGY 33.8% no-vig, Over 6.0 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: CAR - Taylor Hall (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CAR - Jordan Staal (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CGY - Jonathan Huberdeau (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CGY - Samuel Honzek (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Carolina Hurricanes winning in 64.8% of trials. Projected score: CAR 3.46 - CGY 2.55. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Carolina Hurricanes
Brandon Bussi
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 28
- Shots Faced
- 674
Calgary Flames
Devin Cooley
- Proj SV%
- .897
- Starts
- 19
- Shots Faced
- 599
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Carolina Hurricanes
Calgary Flames
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Carolina Hurricanes
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
vs Washington Capitals
4 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
@ Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1
|
Oct 11, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
7 - 2
|
Oct 08, 2026
Calgary Flames
L
@ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 6
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
@ Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
vs Anaheim Ducks
2 - 4
|
Oct 10, 2026
L
vs Colorado Avalanche
3 - 7
|
Oct 08, 2026
L
@ Seattle Kraken
1 - 6
|
Oct 04, 2026