WNBA
Monday, October 19 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
30-14
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
W
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
77.1
—
81.4
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
W
W
W
W
W
- Spread
-
ATL +2.2 (-115)GSV -2.2 (-105)
- Total
-
Posted 152.5 (-110)Simulated 158.5
- Moneyline
-
ATL +115GSV -135
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream
37.8%
Golden State Valkyries
62.3%
No edge at +115
+4.9% edge at -135
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 62.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL +2.2 / GSV -2.2
ATL covers
(-115)
44.2%
GSV covers
(-105)
+4.6% Edge
55.8%
Total
O/U: 152.5
OVER
(-110)
+13.3% Edge
65.7%
UNDER
(-110)
34.3%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.2 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 107.0 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 101.2.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs ATL 30-14 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.05 | ATL factor: 1.006 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 62.3% of trials. Projected score: ATL 77 - GSV 81.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 122.8
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 106.7
DRtg: 101.8
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 94.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.9%
3-Point %
30.8% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
64 - 68
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ New York Liberty
85 - 83
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
101 - 98
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
vs New York Liberty
92 - 82
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
@ Washington Mystics
93 - 75
|
Sep 30, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
87 - 77
|
Oct 09, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
83 - 81
|
Oct 07, 2026
W
vs Las Vegas Aces
71 - 60
|
Oct 04, 2026
W
vs Dallas Wings
77 - 73
|
Oct 02, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
88 - 83
|
Jul 04, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
78 - 75
|
Jun 26, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
77 - 66
|
Jun 24, 2026