NHL
Monday, October 19 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ANA
Anaheim Ducks
Away
4-4-0
(3-1-0 Away)
Form
L
W
W
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.97
—
3.48
NYR
New York Rangers
Home
7-3-1
(6-0-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
ANA +1.5 (-190)NYR -1.5 (+160)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-110)Simulated 6.5
- Moneyline
-
ANA +130NYR -155
Simulated Outcome Probability
Anaheim Ducks
41.5%
New York Rangers
58.5%
No edge at +130
No edge at -155
Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Rangers to win outright in 58.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ANA +1.5 / NYR -1.5
ANA covers
(-190)
64.4%
NYR covers
(+160)
35.6%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-110)
49.0%
UNDER
(-110)
51.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: ANA Ville Husso (.894 projected SV%) vs NYR Dylan Garand (.899 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: ANA dresses 2.66 goals/game of talent (led by Carlsson, Gauthier, Sennecke) | NYR dresses 2.75 goals/game of talent (led by Zibanejad, Fox, Lafrenière).
- • 📐 Model Rates: ANA 2.76 vs NYR 3.18 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.2% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.0%), 3-4 (6.3%), 3-2 (5.8%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NYR 58.3% no-vig, Over 6.5 50.0%).
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ryan Poehling (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: ANA - Ian Moore (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: NYR - Adam Sykora (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Rangers winning in 58.5% of trials. Projected score: ANA 2.97 - NYR 3.48. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Anaheim Ducks
Ville Husso
- Proj SV%
- .893
- Starts
- 13
- Shots Faced
- 381
New York Rangers
Dylan Garand
- Proj SV%
- .900
- Starts
- 8
- Shots Faced
- 212
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Anaheim Ducks
L
vs Boston Bruins
2 - 4
|
Oct 16, 2026
L
vs Calgary Flames
2 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
@ Calgary Flames
4 - 2
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 09, 2026
L
vs Edmonton Oilers
2 - 5
|
Oct 07, 2026
New York Rangers
L
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
0 - 1
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
@ New Jersey Devils
1 - 7
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 1
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
6 - 2
|
Oct 11, 2026
L
@ Washington Capitals
1 - 3
|
Oct 09, 2026