NHL
Tuesday, October 20 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
COL
Colorado Avalanche
Away
5-4-1
(2-3-0 Away)
Form
L
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
3.32
—
3.25
NJD
New Jersey Devils
Home
5-4-0
(4-2-0 Home)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
- Spread
-
COL +1.5 (-250)NJD -1.5 (+200)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-105)Simulated 6.6
- Moneyline
-
COL -100NJD -115
Simulated Outcome Probability
Colorado Avalanche
51.2%
New Jersey Devils
48.8%
+1.2% edge at -100
No edge at -115
Our 10,000 iterations project the Colorado Avalanche to win outright in 51.2% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: COL +1.5 / NJD -1.5
COL covers
(-250)
+0.8% Edge
72.2%
NJD covers
(+200)
27.8%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-105)
50.9%
UNDER
(-115)
49.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: COL Scott Wedgewood (.903 projected SV%) vs NJD Jake Allen (.896 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: COL dresses 3.45 goals/game of talent (led by MacKinnon, Necas, Makar) | NJD dresses 3.03 goals/game of talent (led by Hughes, Bratt, Hischier).
- • 📐 Model Rates: COL 3.35 vs NJD 3.08 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.4% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (6.6%), 3-4 (6.1%), 4-3 (6.1%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NJD 51.7% no-vig, Over 6.5 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: COL - Nicolas Roy (C) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: COL - Zachary L'Heureux (L) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: COL - Logan O'Connor (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ⚠️ Thin Roster: COL is short 1 healthy skater(s); filled with replacement-level call-ups.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Colorado Avalanche winning in 51.2% of trials. Projected score: COL 3.32 - NJD 3.25. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Colorado Avalanche
Scott Wedgewood
- Proj SV%
- .903
- Starts
- 29
- Shots Faced
- 747
New Jersey Devils
Jake Allen
- Proj SV%
- .897
- Starts
- 28
- Shots Faced
- 782
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Colorado Avalanche
New Jersey Devils
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Colorado Avalanche
L
@ Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 2
|
Oct 16, 2026
L
vs Dallas Stars
2 - 3
|
Oct 14, 2026
W
@ Dallas Stars
3 - 2
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
3 - 6
|
Oct 10, 2026
New Jersey Devils
L
@ Washington Capitals
2 - 4
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
vs New York Rangers
7 - 1
|
Oct 15, 2026
W
@ Detroit Red Wings
5 - 4
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
vs Ottawa Senators
1 - 4
|
Oct 12, 2026
W
vs Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1
|
Oct 10, 2026