NHL
Thursday, October 22 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
NSH
Nashville Predators
Away
3-2-3
(1-0-2 Away)
Form
W
L
L
L
W
Projected Final Score
2.89
—
3.47
BOS
Boston Bruins
Home
7-2-1
(3-1-0 Home)
Form
W
W
W
W
L
- Spread
-
NSH +1.5 (-190)BOS -1.5 (+160)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-115)Simulated 6.4
- Moneyline
-
NSH +130BOS -155
Simulated Outcome Probability
Nashville Predators
40.3%
Boston Bruins
59.7%
No edge at +130
No edge at -155
Our 10,000 iterations project the Boston Bruins to win outright in 59.7% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: NSH +1.5 / BOS -1.5
NSH covers
(-190)
62.9%
BOS covers
(+160)
37.1%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-115)
53.3%
UNDER
(-105)
46.7%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: NSH Juuse Saros (.895 projected SV%) vs BOS Jeremy Swayman (.902 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: NSH dresses 2.74 goals/game of talent (led by Forsberg, O'Reilly, Stamkos) | BOS dresses 3.0 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, Geekie, McAvoy).
- • 📐 Model Rates: NSH 2.8 vs BOS 3.42 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.3% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.9%), 3-4 (6.4%), 3-2 (6.0%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (BOS 58.3% no-vig, Over 6.0 51.1%).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Boston Bruins winning in 59.7% of trials. Projected score: NSH 2.89 - BOS 3.47. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Nashville Predators
Juuse Saros
- Proj SV%
- .895
- Starts
- 42
- Shots Faced
- 1233
Boston Bruins
Jeremy Swayman
- Proj SV%
- .902
- Starts
- 40
- Shots Faced
- 1165
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Nashville Predators
Boston Bruins
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Nashville Predators
W
vs St. Louis Blues
5 - 2
|
Oct 17, 2026
L
vs San Jose Sharks
2 - 3
|
Oct 15, 2026
L
vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 5
|
Oct 13, 2026
L
@ Ottawa Senators
2 - 3
|
Oct 10, 2026
W
@ Montréal Canadiens
5 - 2
|
Oct 08, 2026
Boston Bruins
L
@ Dallas Stars
2 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
@ Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2
|
Oct 16, 2026
W
@ San Jose Sharks
6 - 3
|
Oct 13, 2026
W
vs Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1
|
Oct 10, 2026