VegasSims - 10,000+ Sports Matchup Simulations

NBA Friday, October 23 at 04:00 PM EDT

10,000 Sim Trials Run

CHI

Chicago Bulls

Away 0-1 (0-1 Away)

Form

Projected Final Score

118.3 — 120.1

MIL

Home 0-1 (0-0 Home)

Form

Chicago Bulls

44.3%

Milwaukee Bucks

55.8%

No edge at -105

+2.3% edge at -115

Our 10,000 iterations project the Milwaukee Bucks to win outright in 55.8% of simulated game-runs.

Spread Line: CHI +0.5 / MIL -0.5

CHI covers (-110) 44.3%

MIL covers (-110) +3.4% Edge 55.8%

Total O/U: 239.0

OVER (-110) 48.3%

UNDER (-110) 51.7%

• 🏀 Rotation Scoring: CHI rotation carries 115.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Powell, Buzelis, Jones) | MIL rotation carries 115.4 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Herro, Rollins, Kuzma).
• 🛡️ Team Defense: CHI allows 121.8/game | MIL allows 117.1/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
• 📐 Model Line: MIL by 5.0, total 233.6 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
• 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (MIL -0.5, total 239.0).
• ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Josh Giddey is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 30.5 minutes.
• ❌ Injury: CHI - Nic Claxton is Out; his 27.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Jordan Hawkins is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 16.8 minutes.
• ⚠️ Questionable: CHI - Zach Collins is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 15.3 minutes.

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Milwaukee Bucks winning in 55.8% of trials. Projected score: CHI 118 - MIL 120. Value: MIL -0.5 (-110), +3.4 pts.

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