NBA
Sunday, October 25 at 06:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
IND
Indiana Pacers
Away
2-1
(2-0 Away)
Form
W
L
Projected Final Score
118.0
—
113.0
BKN
Brooklyn Nets
Home
0-3
(0-2 Home)
Form
L
L
- Spread
-
IND -6.5 (-110)BKN +6.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 231.0 (-110)Simulated 231.0
- Moneyline
-
IND -230BKN +190
Simulated Outcome Probability
Indiana Pacers
65.9%
Brooklyn Nets
34.1%
No edge at -230
No edge at +190
Our 10,000 iterations project the Indiana Pacers to win outright in 65.9% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: IND -6.5 / BKN +6.5
IND covers
(-110)
45.9%
BKN covers
(-110)
+1.7% Edge
54.1%
Total
O/U: 231.0
OVER
(-110)
49.9%
UNDER
(-110)
50.1%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: IND rotation carries 118.0 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Siakam, Haliburton, Zubac) | BKN rotation carries 106.7 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Jr., Randle, Clowney).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: IND allows 120.4/game | BKN allows 116.0/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: IND by 1.3, total 230.2 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (BKN +6.5, total 231.0).
- • 😴 Back-to-Back: BKN played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: IND - Aaron Nesmith is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 27.1 minutes.
- • ❌ Injury: IND - Ben Sheppard is Out; his 20.3 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: IND - T.J. McConnell is Out; his 17.2 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: BKN - Mikel Brown Jr. is Out; his 15.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Indiana Pacers winning in 65.9% of trials. Projected score: IND 118 - BKN 113. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
Sort by:
Indiana Pacers
Brooklyn Nets
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Indiana Pacers
L
vs Dallas Mavericks
105 - 121
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
@ New Orleans Pelicans
123 - 120
|
Oct 21, 2026
Brooklyn Nets
L
@ Cleveland Cavaliers
121 - 125
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Charlotte Hornets
103 - 110
|
Oct 21, 2026