WNBA
Monday, October 26 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
30-14
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
L
W
W
L
Projected Final Score
79.3
—
80.2
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
W
W
L
L
W
- Spread
-
ATL +1.3 (-110)GSV -1.3 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 150.6 (-110)Simulated 159.5
- Moneyline
-
ATL -105GSV -115
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream
47.5%
Golden State Valkyries
52.5%
No edge at -105
No edge at -115
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 52.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL +1.3 / GSV -1.3
ATL covers
(-110)
50.8%
GSV covers
(-110)
49.2%
Total
O/U: 150.6
OVER
(-110)
+20.8% Edge
73.2%
UNDER
(-110)
26.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.7 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 102.1 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 99.9.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs ATL 30-14 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 1.013 | ATL factor: 1.001 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 52.5% of trials. Projected score: ATL 79 - GSV 80.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 120.1
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 104.8
DRtg: 99.9
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.9%
3-Point %
30.8% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
62 - 67
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
64 - 68
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ New York Liberty
85 - 83
|
Oct 09, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
W
@ Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
71 - 97
|
Oct 21, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
65 - 79
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
W
@ Las Vegas Aces
87 - 77
|
Oct 09, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
88 - 83
|
Jul 04, 2026