NHL Monday, October 26 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
LAK

Los Angeles Kings

Away 3-5-2 (3-2-2 Away)
L L W W L
Projected Final Score
2.81 — 3.2
NYR

New York Rangers

Home 7-6-1 (6-1-0 Home)
L L W L L
Spread
LAK +1.5 (-230)
NYR -1.5 (+185)
Total
Posted 5.5 (-115)
Simulated 6.0
Moneyline
LAK +115
NYR -135

Simulated Outcome Probability

Los Angeles Kings
43.2%
New York Rangers
56.8%
No edge at +115
No edge at -135

Our 10,000 iterations project the New York Rangers to win outright in 56.8% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: LAK +1.5 / NYR -1.5
LAK covers (-230) 66.6%
NYR covers (+185) 33.4%
Total O/U: 5.5
OVER (-115) 52.9%
UNDER (-105) 47.1%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: LAK Darcy Kuemper (.894 projected SV%) vs NYR James Reimer (.894 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: LAK dresses 2.5 goals/game of talent (led by Panarin, Kempe, Laferriere) | NYR dresses 2.83 goals/game of talent (led by Fox, Zibanejad, Lafrenière).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: LAK 2.7 vs NYR 3.17 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.0% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.1%), 3-2 (6.3%), 3-4 (6.2%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (NYR 55.3% no-vig, Over 5.5 51.1%).
  • • ❌ Injury: LAK - Mats Zuccarello (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: LAK - Kevin Fiala (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: LAK - Alex Turcotte (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: NYR - Adam Sykora (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the New York Rangers winning in 56.8% of trials. Projected score: LAK 2.81 - NYR 3.2. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Los Angeles Kings

Darcy Kuemper

Proj SV%
.894
Starts
37
Shots Faced
939
New York Rangers

James Reimer

Proj SV%
.893
Starts
9
Shots Faced
181

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Los Angeles Kings

New York Rangers

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Los Angeles Kings

L @ New Jersey Devils
1 - 3 | Oct 24, 2026
W @ New York Islanders
3 - 2 | Oct 22, 2026
W @ Washington Capitals
5 - 2 | Oct 20, 2026
L vs Boston Bruins
1 - 4 | Oct 17, 2026
L vs Edmonton Oilers
1 - 4 | Oct 13, 2026

New York Rangers

L @ Ottawa Senators
4 - 7 | Oct 24, 2026
L @ Toronto Maple Leafs
4 - 5 | Oct 22, 2026
W vs Anaheim Ducks
5 - 2 | Oct 19, 2026
L @ Columbus Blue Jackets
0 - 1 | Oct 17, 2026
L @ New Jersey Devils
1 - 7 | Oct 15, 2026