NBA Monday, October 26 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WSH

Washington Wizards

Away 2-2 (1-1 Away)
W L W
Projected Final Score
112.7 — 115.3
CHA

Charlotte Hornets

Home 3-1 (2-1 Home)
W L W
Spread
WSH +3.0 (-110)
CHA -3.0 (-110)
Total
Posted 228.0 (-110)
Simulated 228.0
Moneyline
WSH +125
CHA -145

Simulated Outcome Probability

Washington Wizards
41.5%
Charlotte Hornets
58.5%
No edge at +125
No edge at -145

Our 10,000 iterations project the Charlotte Hornets to win outright in 58.5% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: WSH +3.0 / CHA -3.0
WSH covers (-110) 50.3%
CHA covers (-110) 49.7%
Total O/U: 228.0
OVER (-110) 49.8%
UNDER (-110) 50.2%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: WSH rotation carries 119.6 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Young, Davis, Sarr) | CHA rotation carries 100.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Schroder).
  • • 🛡️ Team Defense: WSH allows 124.4/game | CHA allows 111.3/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
  • • 📐 Model Line: CHA by 2.0, total 227.8 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CHA -3.0, total 228.0).
  • • ❌ Injury: WSH - Jamir Watkins is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ⚠️ Questionable: CHA - Naz Reid is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 26.3 minutes.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Charlotte Hornets winning in 58.5% of trials. Projected score: WSH 113 - CHA 115. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Top Players (Per Game)

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Washington Wizards

Charlotte Hornets

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Washington Wizards

W @ Chicago Bulls
124 - 120 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Toronto Raptors
102 - 112 | Oct 23, 2026
W vs Milwaukee Bucks
128 - 116 | Oct 21, 2026

Charlotte Hornets

W vs Miami Heat
115 - 110 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Atlanta Hawks
81 - 128 | Oct 23, 2026
W @ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 103 | Oct 21, 2026