NBA
Monday, October 26 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WSH
Washington Wizards
Away
2-2
(1-1 Away)
Form
W
L
W
Projected Final Score
112.7
—
115.3
CHA
Charlotte Hornets
Home
3-1
(2-1 Home)
Form
W
L
W
- Spread
-
WSH +3.0 (-110)CHA -3.0 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 228.0 (-110)Simulated 228.0
- Moneyline
-
WSH +125CHA -145
Simulated Outcome Probability
Washington Wizards
41.5%
Charlotte Hornets
58.5%
No edge at +125
No edge at -145
Our 10,000 iterations project the Charlotte Hornets to win outright in 58.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: WSH +3.0 / CHA -3.0
WSH covers
(-110)
50.3%
CHA covers
(-110)
49.7%
Total
O/U: 228.0
OVER
(-110)
49.8%
UNDER
(-110)
50.2%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: WSH rotation carries 119.6 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Young, Davis, Sarr) | CHA rotation carries 100.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Schroder).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: WSH allows 124.4/game | CHA allows 111.3/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: CHA by 2.0, total 227.8 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CHA -3.0, total 228.0).
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Jamir Watkins is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ⚠️ Questionable: CHA - Naz Reid is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 26.3 minutes.
- • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Charlotte Hornets winning in 58.5% of trials. Projected score: WSH 113 - CHA 115. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Washington Wizards
Charlotte Hornets
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Washington Wizards
W
@ Chicago Bulls
124 - 120
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Toronto Raptors
102 - 112
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
vs Milwaukee Bucks
128 - 116
|
Oct 21, 2026
Charlotte Hornets
W
vs Miami Heat
115 - 110
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Hawks
81 - 128
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
@ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 103
|
Oct 21, 2026