NBA
Monday, October 26 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
MIN
Minnesota Timberwolves
Away
3-1
(2-1 Away)
Form
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
115.4
—
118.9
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
Home
2-1
(2-0 Home)
Form
L
W
- Spread
-
MIN +3.0 (-110)CLE -3.0 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 234.0 (-110)Simulated 234.3
- Moneyline
-
MIN +120CLE -145
Simulated Outcome Probability
Minnesota Timberwolves
39.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
61.0%
No edge at +120
+1.8% edge at -145
Our 10,000 iterations project the Cleveland Cavaliers to win outright in 61.0% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: MIN +3.0 / CLE -3.0
MIN covers
(-110)
47.7%
CLE covers
(-110)
52.3%
Total
O/U: 234.0
OVER
(-110)
50.0%
UNDER
(-110)
50.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: MIN rotation carries 122.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Edwards, Ball, McDaniels) | CLE rotation carries 127.7 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Mitchell, Harden, Mobley).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: MIN allows 113.7/game | CLE allows 115.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: CLE by 4.6, total 236.0 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CLE -3.0, total 234.0).
- • 😴 Back-to-Back: MIN played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
- • ❌ Injury: MIN - Donte DiVincenzo is Out; his 28.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Cleveland Cavaliers winning in 61.0% of trials. Projected score: MIN 115 - CLE 119. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
Sort by:
Minnesota Timberwolves
Cleveland Cavaliers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota Timberwolves
W
vs Toronto Raptors
117 - 94
|
Oct 25, 2026
W
@ Orlando Magic
115 - 93
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
@ Miami Heat
131 - 106
|
Oct 21, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers
W
vs Brooklyn Nets
125 - 121
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Philadelphia 76ers
106 - 114
|
Oct 22, 2026