NHL Tuesday, October 27 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CBJ

Columbus Blue Jackets

Away 5-5-0 (1-2-0 Away)
L W L L W
Projected Final Score
2.95 — 3.01
PHI

Philadelphia Flyers

Home 3-7-4 (2-3-3 Home)
L W W W L
Spread
CBJ -1.5 (+210)
PHI +1.5 (-260)
Total
Posted 5.5 (-115)
Simulated 6.0
Moneyline
CBJ -120
PHI -100

Simulated Outcome Probability

Columbus Blue Jackets
49.6%
Philadelphia Flyers
50.4%
No edge at -120
+0.4% edge at -100

Our 10,000 iterations project the Philadelphia Flyers to win outright in 50.4% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: CBJ -1.5 / PHI +1.5
CBJ covers (+210) 27.3%
PHI covers (-260) +0.5% Edge 72.7%
Total O/U: 5.5
OVER (-115) 52.5%
UNDER (-105) 47.5%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: CBJ Cam Talbot (.892 projected SV%) vs PHI Dan Vladar (.899 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CBJ dresses 2.65 goals/game of talent (led by Werenski, Knies, Coyle) | PHI dresses 2.58 goals/game of talent (led by Zegras, Michkov, Dvorak).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: CBJ 2.65 vs PHI 3.06 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 21.0% of trials. Most common finals: 3-2 (7.3%), 2-3 (7.1%), 4-3 (5.9%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (PHI 47.8% no-vig, Over 5.5 51.1%).
  • • ❌ Injury: PHI - Travis Konecny (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: PHI - Owen Tippett (R) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: PHI - Rasmus Ristolainen (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Philadelphia Flyers winning in 50.4% of trials. Projected score: CBJ 2.95 - PHI 3.01. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Columbus Blue Jackets

Cam Talbot

Proj SV%
.892
Starts
20
Shots Faced
620
Philadelphia Flyers

Dan Vladar

Proj SV%
.898
Starts
38
Shots Faced
975

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Columbus Blue Jackets

Philadelphia Flyers

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Columbus Blue Jackets

W vs Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 1 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 6 | Oct 20, 2026
L @ Minnesota Wild
1 - 2 | Oct 18, 2026
W vs New York Rangers
1 - 0 | Oct 17, 2026
L vs Florida Panthers
3 - 7 | Oct 13, 2026

Philadelphia Flyers

L vs Anaheim Ducks
4 - 5 | Oct 24, 2026
W @ Buffalo Sabres
3 - 1 | Oct 21, 2026
W vs Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 | Oct 19, 2026
W vs Ottawa Senators
3 - 1 | Oct 17, 2026
L @ Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 | Oct 15, 2026