NHL Tuesday, October 27 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
BOS

Boston Bruins

Away 9-3-1 (4-2-1 Away)
W W L W W
Projected Final Score
2.87 — 3.68
CAR

Carolina Hurricanes

Home 10-2-2 (3-1-1 Home)
W L W L W
Spread
BOS +1.5 (-155)
CAR -1.5 (+130)
Total
Posted 6.5 (-105)
Simulated 6.6
Moneyline
BOS +160
CAR -190

Simulated Outcome Probability

Boston Bruins
36.9%
Carolina Hurricanes
63.1%
No edge at +160
No edge at -190

Our 10,000 iterations project the Carolina Hurricanes to win outright in 63.1% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: BOS +1.5 / CAR -1.5
BOS covers (-155) 60.0%
CAR covers (+130) 40.0%
Total O/U: 6.5
OVER (-105) 50.0%
UNDER (-115) 50.1%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🥅 Goaltending: BOS Jeremy Swayman (.902 projected SV%) vs CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (.897 projected SV%).
  • • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: BOS dresses 3.11 goals/game of talent (led by Pastrnak, McAvoy, Geekie) | CAR dresses 3.33 goals/game of talent (led by Aho, Jarvis, Svechnikov).
  • • 📐 Model Rates: BOS 2.86 vs CAR 3.49 regulation goals before the market blend.
  • • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.6% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.0%), 3-4 (6.2%), 3-2 (5.1%).
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (CAR 63.0% no-vig, Over 6.5 48.9%).
  • • ❌ Injury: CAR - Jordan Staal (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
  • • ❌ Injury: CAR - Alexander Nikishin (D) is Out; removed from the projected lineup.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Carolina Hurricanes winning in 63.1% of trials. Projected score: BOS 2.87 - CAR 3.68. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Starting Goalies

Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman

Proj SV%
.902
Starts
42
Shots Faced
1222
Carolina Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov

Proj SV%
.897
Starts
13
Shots Faced
272

Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.

Top Skaters (Per Game)

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Boston Bruins

Carolina Hurricanes

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Boston Bruins

W vs San Jose Sharks
6 - 4 | Oct 24, 2026
W vs Nashville Predators
6 - 0 | Oct 22, 2026
L @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 | Oct 20, 2026
W @ Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 | Oct 17, 2026
W @ Anaheim Ducks
4 - 2 | Oct 16, 2026

Carolina Hurricanes

W @ St. Louis Blues
4 - 0 | Oct 24, 2026
L @ Edmonton Oilers
5 - 6 | Oct 22, 2026
W @ Vancouver Canucks
6 - 3 | Oct 20, 2026
L @ Calgary Flames
2 - 3 | Oct 18, 2026
W @ Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 | Oct 17, 2026