NHL
Wednesday, October 28 at 08:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CGY
Calgary Flames
Away
5-7-0
(1-4-0 Away)
Form
L
W
W
W
W
Projected Final Score
2.76
—
3.63
EDM
Edmonton Oilers
Home
9-2-2
(4-2-2 Home)
Form
W
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
CGY +1.5 (-155)EDM -1.5 (+130)
- Total
-
Posted 6.5 (-115)Simulated 6.4
- Moneyline
-
CGY +155EDM -180
Simulated Outcome Probability
Calgary Flames
36.5%
Edmonton Oilers
63.5%
No edge at +155
No edge at -180
Our 10,000 iterations project the Edmonton Oilers to win outright in 63.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: CGY +1.5 / EDM -1.5
CGY covers
(-155)
58.6%
EDM covers
(+130)
41.4%
Total
O/U: 6.5
OVER
(-115)
47.1%
UNDER
(-105)
+1.7% Edge
52.9%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: CGY Devin Cooley (.900 projected SV%) vs EDM Tristan Jarry (.890 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: CGY dresses 2.22 goals/game of talent (led by Coronato, Farabee, Gridin) | EDM dresses 3.08 goals/game of talent (led by McDavid, Draisaitl, Bouchard).
- • 📐 Model Rates: CGY 2.48 vs EDM 3.39 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 19.1% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (6.6%), 3-4 (5.7%), 3-2 (5.5%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (EDM 62.1% no-vig, Over 6.5 51.1%).
- • ❌ Injury: CGY - Jonathan Huberdeau (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: CGY - Samuel Honzek (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: EDM - Zach Hyman (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: EDM - Matt Savoie (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: EDM - Mattias Janmark (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Edmonton Oilers winning in 63.5% of trials. Projected score: CGY 2.76 - EDM 3.63. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Starting Goalies
Calgary Flames
Devin Cooley
- Proj SV%
- .900
- Starts
- 23
- Shots Faced
- 705
Edmonton Oilers
Tristan Jarry
- Proj SV%
- .892
- Starts
- 23
- Shots Faced
- 652
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Calgary Flames
Edmonton Oilers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Calgary Flames
W
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
5 - 2
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
vs Detroit Red Wings
4 - 1
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Minnesota Wild
2 - 1
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 2
|
Oct 18, 2026
L
@ Vegas Golden Knights
2 - 6
|
Oct 15, 2026
Edmonton Oilers
L
vs Detroit Red Wings
3 - 4
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
2 - 7
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Carolina Hurricanes
6 - 5
|
Oct 22, 2026
W
vs Minnesota Wild
4 - 3
|
Oct 20, 2026
W
@ Utah Mammoth
6 - 2
|
Oct 17, 2026