Model Simulation Deciders

• • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: MIA rotation carries 123.7 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Antetokounmpo, Adebayo, Wiggins) | ATL rotation carries 111.8 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Johnson, McCollum, Alexander-Walker).
• • 🛡️ Team Defense: MIA allows 118.8/game | ATL allows 115.7/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
• • 📐 Model Line: MIA by 0.7, total 235.0 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
• • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (ATL -2.0, total 242.0).
• • ❌ Injury: MIA - Simone Fontecchio is Out; his 16.1 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• • ⚠️ Questionable: ATL - Aaron Wiggins is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 22.1 minutes.
• • ❌ Injury: ATL - Mouhamed Gueye is Out; his 15.3 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.