NBA
Wednesday, October 28 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WSH
Washington Wizards
Away
2-3
(1-2 Away)
Form
W
L
W
L
Projected Final Score
115.7
—
125.4
CLE
Cleveland Cavaliers
Home
3-1
(3-0 Home)
Form
L
W
W
- Spread
-
WSH +9.5 (-110)CLE -9.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 240.5 (-110)Simulated 241.1
- Moneyline
-
WSH +305CLE -390
Simulated Outcome Probability
Washington Wizards
21.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers
78.3%
No edge at +305
No edge at -390
Our 10,000 iterations project the Cleveland Cavaliers to win outright in 78.3% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: WSH +9.5 / CLE -9.5
WSH covers
(-110)
49.2%
CLE covers
(-110)
50.8%
Total
O/U: 240.5
OVER
(-110)
50.5%
UNDER
(-110)
49.5%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: WSH rotation carries 119.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Davis, Young, Sarr) | CLE rotation carries 126.7 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Mitchell, Harden, Mobley).
- • 🛡️ Team Defense: WSH allows 124.1/game | CLE allows 115.7/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
- • 📐 Model Line: CLE by 10.2, total 242.6 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (CLE -9.5, total 240.5).
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Justin Champagnie is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
- • ❌ Injury: WSH - Jamir Watkins is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Cleveland Cavaliers winning in 78.3% of trials. Projected score: WSH 116 - CLE 125. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.
Top Players (Per Game)
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Washington Wizards
Cleveland Cavaliers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Washington Wizards
L
@ Charlotte Hornets
103 - 110
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
@ Chicago Bulls
124 - 120
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
vs Toronto Raptors
102 - 112
|
Oct 23, 2026
W
vs Milwaukee Bucks
128 - 116
|
Oct 21, 2026
Cleveland Cavaliers
W
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
127 - 125
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
vs Brooklyn Nets
125 - 121
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Philadelphia 76ers
106 - 114
|
Oct 22, 2026