WNBA
Thursday, October 29 at 12:30 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away
32-12
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
L
L
W
W
Projected Final Score
79.3
—
78.6
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Home
30-14
(15-7 Home)
Form
L
W
W
L
L
- Spread
-
GSV +4.5 (-110)ATL -4.5 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 147.5 (-110)Simulated 157.9
- Moneyline
-
GSV +160ATL -190
Simulated Outcome Probability
Golden State Valkyries
52.1%
Atlanta Dream
47.9%
+13.6% edge at +160
No edge at -190
Our 10,000 iterations project the Golden State Valkyries to win outright in 52.1% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: GSV +4.5 / ATL -4.5
GSV covers
(-110)
+11.7% Edge
64.1%
ATL covers
(-110)
35.9%
Total
O/U: 147.5
OVER
(-110)
+24.6% Edge
77.0%
UNDER
(-110)
23.0%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.6 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: ATL holds an Offensive Rating of 112.6 vs GSV's Defensive Rating of 95.1.
- • 📊 Season Records: ATL is 30-14 (Home: 15-7) vs GSV 32-12 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: ATL factor: 0.986 | GSV factor: 1.015 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Golden State Valkyries winning outright in 52.1% of trials. Projected score: GSV 79 - ATL 79.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 79.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 78.2
ORtg: 103.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 118.9
DRtg: 96.5
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 98.3
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
44.9% / 40.9%
3-Point %
34.5% / 30.8%
Free Throw %
79.2% / 77.8%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Golden State Valkyries
Atlanta Dream
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Golden State Valkyries
W
vs Atlanta Dream
64 - 55
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
@ Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
71 - 97
|
Oct 21, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
65 - 79
|
Oct 19, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026
Atlanta Dream
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
55 - 64
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
62 - 67
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
64 - 68
|
Oct 17, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
64 - 55
|
Oct 26, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
68 - 64
|
Oct 17, 2026