VegasSims - 10,000+ Sports Matchup Simulations

NBA Thursday, October 29 at 08:00 PM EDT

10,000 Sim Trials Run

SAC

Sacramento Kings

Away 0-4 (0-2 Away)

Form

L L L L

Projected Final Score

117.0 — 123.9

Home 0-3 (0-1 Home)

Form

L L L

Sacramento Kings

28.8%

New Orleans Pelicans

71.2%

No edge at N/A

Our 10,000 iterations project the New Orleans Pelicans to win outright in 71.2% of simulated game-runs.

Spread Line: N/A

SAC covers (-110) 50.2%

NO covers (-110) 49.8%

Total O/U:

OVER (-110) 50.3%

UNDER (-110) 49.7%

• 🏀 Rotation Scoring: SAC rotation carries 112.1 pts/game of scoring talent (led by LaVine, Sabonis, Hunter) | NO rotation carries 126.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Williamson, III, Bey).
• 🛡️ Team Defense: SAC allows 121.3/game | NO allows 120.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
• 📐 Model Line: NO by 7.0, total 240.6 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
• 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against the model's own line (NO -7.0, total 240.5) until books post this game.
• 😴 Back-to-Back: NO played last night; 1.5 points of margin taken off.
• ❌ Injury: SAC - Keegan Murray is Out; his 32.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: SAC - Maxime Raynaud is Out; his 25.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: SAC - Ben Simmons is Out; his 20.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: SAC - Dylan Cardwell is Out; his 19.9 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: NO - Yves Missi is Out; his 21.7 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the New Orleans Pelicans winning in 71.2% of trials. Projected score: SAC 117 - NO 124.

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