NBA Friday, October 30 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
CHA

Charlotte Hornets

Away 3-2 (1-1 Away)
W L W W L
Projected Final Score
110.7 — 110.6
WSH

Washington Wizards

Home 2-3 (1-1 Home)
W L W L L
Spread
CHA -0.5 (-110)
WSH +0.5 (-110)
Total
Posted 219.5 (-110)
Simulated 221.3
Moneyline
CHA -110
WSH -110

Simulated Outcome Probability

Charlotte Hornets
50.0%
Washington Wizards
50.0%
No edge at -110
No edge at -110

Our 10,000 iterations project the Washington Wizards to win outright in 50.0% of simulated game-runs.

Simulator Cover Probability

Spread Line: CHA -0.5 / WSH +0.5
CHA covers (-110) 50.0%
WSH covers (-110) 50.0%
Total O/U: 219.5
OVER (-110) +0.7% Edge 53.1%
UNDER (-110) 46.9%

Model Simulation Deciders

  • • 🏀 Rotation Scoring: CHA rotation carries 101.6 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Miller, Allen, Reid) | WSH rotation carries 118.3 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Davis, Young, Sarr).
  • • 🛡️ Team Defense: CHA allows 110.9/game | WSH allows 124.0/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
  • • 📐 Model Line: WSH by 1.4, total 228.1 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
  • • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 70% toward the posted spread and 85% toward the total (WSH +0.5, total 219.5).
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Kon Knueppel is Out; his 30.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Coby White is Out; his 27.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ⚠️ Questionable: CHA - Dennis Schroder is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 25.6 minutes.
  • • ❌ Injury: CHA - Grant Williams is Out; his 20.8 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ⚠️ Questionable: WSH - Tre Johnson is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 23.3 minutes.
  • • ❌ Injury: WSH - Justin Champagnie is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
  • • ❌ Injury: WSH - Jamir Watkins is Out; his 20.0 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.

VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Washington Wizards winning in 50.0% of trials. Projected score: CHA 111 - WSH 111. No side clears a 3.0-point edge over the posted prices.

Top Players (Per Game)

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Charlotte Hornets

Washington Wizards

Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)

Charlotte Hornets

L @ Detroit Pistons
89 - 97 | Oct 28, 2026
W vs Washington Wizards
110 - 103 | Oct 26, 2026
W vs Miami Heat
115 - 110 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Atlanta Hawks
81 - 128 | Oct 23, 2026
W @ Brooklyn Nets
110 - 103 | Oct 21, 2026

Washington Wizards

L @ Cleveland Cavaliers
111 - 121 | Oct 28, 2026
L @ Charlotte Hornets
103 - 110 | Oct 26, 2026
W @ Chicago Bulls
124 - 120 | Oct 24, 2026
L vs Toronto Raptors
102 - 112 | Oct 23, 2026
W vs Milwaukee Bucks
128 - 116 | Oct 21, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Home Charlotte Hornets defeated Washington Wizards
110 - 103 | Oct 26, 2026