NHL
Friday, October 30 at 07:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
WPG
Winnipeg Jets
Away
4-6-3
(2-2-2 Away)
Form
L
L
L
L
L
Projected Final Score
2.69
—
3.5
FLA
Florida Panthers
Home
7-4-2
(2-1-0 Home)
Form
W
L
L
W
W
- Spread
-
WPG +1.5 (-135)FLA -1.5 (+110)
- Total
-
Posted 6.0 (-105)Simulated 6.2
- Moneyline
-
WPG +185FLA -225
Simulated Outcome Probability
Winnipeg Jets
36.4%
Florida Panthers
63.6%
+1.3% edge at +185
No edge at -225
Our 10,000 iterations project the Florida Panthers to win outright in 63.6% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: WPG +1.5 / FLA -1.5
WPG covers
(-135)
+3.0% Edge
60.4%
FLA covers
(+110)
39.6%
Total
O/U: 6.0
OVER
(-105)
50.2%
UNDER
(-115)
49.8%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🥅 Goaltending: WPG Nico Daws (.895 projected SV%) vs FLA Akira Schmid (.894 projected SV%).
- • 🏒 Lineup Scoring: WPG dresses 2.53 goals/game of talent (led by Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi) | FLA dresses 2.82 goals/game of talent (led by Tkachuk, Tkachuk, Reinhart).
- • 📐 Model Rates: WPG 2.65 vs FLA 3.18 regulation goals before the market blend.
- • ⏱️ Overtime: Tied after regulation in 20.5% of trials. Most common finals: 2-3 (7.8%), 3-4 (6.3%), 3-2 (5.6%).
- • 💵 Market Anchor: Blended 60% toward rates implied by the posted prices (FLA 66.4% no-vig, Over 6.0 48.9%).
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Josh Morrissey (D) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: WPG - Vladislav Namestnikov (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Brad Marchand (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Jonah Gadjovich (L) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
- • ❌ Injury: FLA - Aleksander Barkov (C) is Injured Reserve; removed from the projected lineup.
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Florida Panthers winning in 63.6% of trials. Projected score: WPG 2.69 - FLA 3.5. Value: WPG +1.5 puck line (-135), +3.0 pts.
Starting Goalies
Winnipeg Jets
Nico Daws
- Proj SV%
- .895
- Starts
- 6
- Shots Faced
- 147
Florida Panthers
Akira Schmid
- Proj SV%
- .894
- Starts
- 23
- Shots Faced
- 649
Save percentage blends this season and last, weighted by shots faced and regressed toward replacement level, so a hot two-week stretch does not read as elite.
Top Skaters (Per Game)
Sort by:
Winnipeg Jets
Florida Panthers
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Winnipeg Jets
L
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
4 - 6
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
vs Florida Panthers
1 - 5
|
Oct 27, 2026
L
vs Montréal Canadiens
1 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026
L
@ Dallas Stars
2 - 3
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ St. Louis Blues
1 - 2
|
Oct 20, 2026
Florida Panthers
W
@ Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026
W
@ Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2
|
Oct 25, 2026
L
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 4
|
Oct 22, 2026
L
@ Ottawa Senators
1 - 5
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
vs Seattle Kraken
8 - 3
|
Oct 17, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Away
Florida Panthers defeated Winnipeg Jets
5 - 1
|
Oct 27, 2026